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Showing posts with label financial markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label financial markets. Show all posts

Wall Street nears records in winning week finish

Wall Street is moving forward on Friday, heading into its third week of gains in the past four, with major U.S. companies reporting better-than-expected profits for the spring.

The S&P 500 rose by 0.2% during early trading, following a new all-time peak the previous day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 25 points, or 0.1%, as of 9:35 a.m. Eastern time, while the Nasdaq composite increased by 0.4% after reaching its own record high.

Norfolk Southern rose 2.6% following a report from an AP source indicating that it is in discussions with Union Pacific regarding a merger, which would result in the biggest railroad company in North America, linking the East and West coasts. However, any such agreement is expected to encounter significant examination by U.S. authorities. Meanwhile, Union Pacific's shares declined by 0.5%.

Netflix, on the other hand, dropped 4.7% even though it announced a better-than-anticipated profit for the most recent quarter. Analysts noted that it's not unexpected for the stock to perform poorly after it had already increased by 43% this year prior to the day in question. This is six times higher than the S&P 500's gain.

Chevron increased by 1.3% following the completion of its purchase of Hess. The acquisition received approval after a positive arbitration decision in Paris concerning certain assets belonging to Hess near the coast of Guyana.

Positive earnings results for the spring boosted the performance of several stocks. Charles Schwab increased by 4.4%, while Comerica went up 2.3%.

In the bond market, Treasury interest rates declined before a report due on Friday morning that will reveal U.S. consumers' sentiments regarding the economy and inflation.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.42% from 4.47% at the end of Thursday. The two-year Treasury yield, which is more indicative of expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's short-term rate decisions, also decreased. It dropped to 3.86% from 3.91%.

A senior Federal Reserve official, Gov. Chris Waller, stated late Thursday that the Fed should lower its overnight interest rate at its upcoming meeting in a few weeks. This comes after strong criticism from President Donald Trump, who has been condemning the Fed for keeping interest rates unchanged this year rather than reducing them, as it did toward the end of last year.

Reduced interest rates might provide a stimulus to the economy, and Trump has also suggested they could assist the U.S. government in reducing expenses on debt servicing, although this remains unclear. The interest rates the federal government pays on its long-term debt are often influenced more by the perceptions of bond investors than by the actions of the Federal Reserve, and these rates can sometimes move in conflicting directions.

The head of the Federal Reserve has been emphasizing the need to observe more information on how Trump's tariffs impact the economy and inflation before the Fed takes its next action. The risk of lower interest rates is that they can further stimulate inflation, and prices may already be showing signs of rising due to the tariffs.

Traders on Wall Street still believe that the Fed is more probable to start reducing interest rates in September, rather than later this month, as indicated by CME Group data.

In foreign stock markets, indices showed varied performance across Europe and Asia. Hong Kong's Hang Seng increased by 1.4%, while Tokyo's Nikkei 225 declined by 0.2% ahead of a vote for the upper house of parliament on Sunday, which might reduce the ruling coalition's majority in that chamber.


Government Securities Worth Rs 27,000 Crore Fully Subscribed on Friday

Mumbai (Maharashtra) [India], July 18 (ANI): On Friday, the central government conducted an auction of securities amounting to a total of Rs 27,000 crore (Rs 15,000 crore set to mature in 2030 and Rs 12,000 crore scheduled to mature in 2054).

As per the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), thegovernment securitieswas fully subscribed. The bond maturing in 2030 is expected to provide 6.01 percent annual returns, and 7.09 percent for the bond maturing in 2054.

The subscription auction was carried out using a price-based approach today. Primary Dealers submitted their bids for the auction electronically via the Core Banking Solution (E-Kuber) system between 09:00 AM and 09:30 AM on the day of the underwriting auction (today).

The underwriting commission will be added to the current account of the respective primary dealers with RBI today. Primary dealers are authorized entities with RBI that have permission to buy and sellgovernment securities.

In the most recent auction of State Government Securities (SGS), data from the RBI revealed that up to twelve Indian states managed to raise a combined total of Rs 26,900 crore. Every state that took part in the auction accepted the full amount they had announced for the sale.

Maharashtra took the lead in the fundraising initiative, raising Rs 6,000 crore via four types of securities. The state provided returns of 7.12 per cent for a 22-year security, 7.13 per cent for a 23-year security, 7.15 per cent for a 24-year security, and 7.16 per cent for a 25-year security.

After Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh generated Rs 3,600 crore by issuing two securities worth Rs 1,500 crore and Rs 2,100 crore, with yields of 6.87 per cent and 6.88 per cent respectively, for tenures of 8 and 9 years.

Uttar Pradesh generated Rs 3,000 crore by issuing a single security with a yield of 6.86 percent for an 8-year period.

Uttar Pradesh is succeeded by Telangana and Punjab, each of which raised Rs 2,500 crore. Punjab also recorded the highest return on its security at 7.19 per cent for a period of 24 years.

Telangana secured Rs 2,500 crore through three different securities, with two of them amounting to Rs 1,000 crore each. The first one was issued at a yield of 7.10 per cent for a period of 32 years, while the second was offered at a yield of 7.09 per cent for 35 years. The third security, worth Rs 500 crore, was issued for a tenure of 38 years with a yield of 7.09 per cent.

West Bengal, Gujarat, and Bihar each issued securities worth Rs 2,000 crore. West Bengal did so at a yield of 7.07% for a period of 12 years, Gujarat at 6.80% for nine years, and Bihar at 6.90% for ten years.

Other bidders in the auction were Odisha, which generated Rs 1,500 crore by issuing two securities worth Rs 1,000 crore and Rs 500 crore. The first was issued at a yield of 6.98 per cent for a period of 12 years, while the second was offered at 6.13 per cent for a duration of three years.

Tamil Nadu generated Rs 1,000 crore by issuing a bond with a yield of 6.82 percent for a period of 10 years. Goa secured Rs 100 crore at 6.89 percent for a term of 10 years.

The RBI carried out this yield-based auction as part of its standard borrowing schedule for states, assisting them in fulfilling their capital spending and financial requirements. (ANI)


Hong Kong's Fundraising Momentum to Stay Strong: Senior Bankers Predict Continued Growth

The sum collected through additional stock offerings amounts to US$31.4 billion in the first half of 2025, surpassing the total for all of 2024.

Energy in the Hong Kong fundraising market that followsinitial public offeringsInitial Public Offerings (IPOs) are expected to remain active, according to senior investment bankers, fueled by the strong capital requirements of companies on the mainland and international investors shifting their focus toward Chinese investments.

The sum collected through follow-on offerings—such as share placements and equity-related debt issues like convertible bonds following initial public offerings—amounted to US$31.4 billion in the first half of this year, as per data from Dealogic. The annual total for 2024 was US$27.9 billion, with the highest ever recorded being US$83.9 billion in 2021.

An increasing number of publicly traded companies, aiming to grow their operations and finance research and development (R&D), have contributed to an optimistic view of capital markets, according to bankers.

Are you curious about the most significant issues and developments happening globally? Find the solutions withSCMP Knowledge, our latest platform offering handpicked content including explainers, FAQs, analyses, and infographics, presented by our acclaimed team.

"The present surge in A-to-H IPOs presents a significant chance for most publicly traded companies to explore additional share offerings in order to boost their liquidity," said Jacky Leung, head of Hong Kong coverage atGoldman SachsThe A-to-H trend involves a number of mainland-listed companies selling H-shares in Hong Kong, including an electric vehicle (EV) battery manufacturer.Contemporary Amperex Technology, which concluded the biggest initial public offering of the year.

"As a bridge for Chinese technology, media, and telecommunications (TMT) and industrial firms to reach global capital, especially within a challenging geopolitical environment," was a major reason why companies aimed for additional share offerings, noted Leung, who also holds the position of co-chief operating officer for Goldman's TMT group in Asia, excluding Japan.

"The momentum in fundraising is anticipated to persist, fueled by substantial technology investments," stated Saurabh Dinakar, head of Asia-Pacific global capital markets at Morgan Stanley. The "positive" outlook is expected to stay for the next 12 months, even with possible market fluctuations that might affect investor confidence and delay the flow of deals, he noted.

"The breadth of the Hong Kong market proves effective during times of fluctuation," stated Johnson Chui, managing director and head of global issuer services at Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, at aconference last week, referencing the overall financial power of initial public offerings and subsequent equity issues.

"The enhanced market performance and increased trading volumes have resulted in a rise in follow-on offerings," stated Goldman's Leung. "Significant capital raising can only occur if the stock has adequate trading liquidity." Goldman ranked first on the Dealogic Asia-Pacific excluding Japan equity capital market league table based on bookrunning volume in the first half of the year and spearheaded Hong Kong's three largest follow-on deals during that time.

Companies that recently conducted significant share offerings included the world's biggest electric vehicle manufacturer.BYD and Xiaomi, which generated US$5.6 billion and US$5.5 billion respectively, in March to fund their international growth and research and development activities.

In June, Horizon Robotics, a mainland Chinese developer specializing in intelligent driving chips, secured approximately US$600 million. That same month, Innovent Biologics and a major Chinese logistics companySF Holdinginitiated stock offerings that generated approximately US$550 million and US$376 million, respectively.

"Currently, there are several large and high-quality Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, including some that are dual-listed in the US and Hong Kong, which are increasingly securing funding in Hong Kong because of growing stock prices and valuations," mentioned Dinakar from Morgan Stanley. The bank oversaw several significant subsequent equity offerings, such as those for Horizon, Innovent, and Nio.

The city's key Hang Seng Index has risen over 22 percent this year, while the S&P 500 has increased by 6.5 percent.

Although share placements could potentially reduce stock prices because of discounts and increased supply, liquidity usually improved if there was continued investor interest, according to analysts. For instance, BYD's shares dropped 6.8 per cent on March 4 after the company announced a share placement, but they later rose by 9.2 per cent.

All major follow-on offerings this year, including BYD, Xiaomi, SF... have performed strongly, which is expected to boost investor interest," Leung stated. "We have observed a global capital reallocation driven by 'trade realignment' and ongoing international capital inflows.

"Global investors show widespread interest in investing in some of these top-tier companies within their industries," Dinakar stated, noting that foreign capital from pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and hedge funds has come back to the Hong Kong market following three years of low engagement.

Furthermore, inward flows from mainland Chinese investors have strengthened Hong Kong's stock market.

"As liquidity rises, market depth expands, which further draws in attention and funding," Dinakar stated.

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This piece was first published in the South China Morning Post (www.scmp.com), a top news outlet covering China and Asia.


Currency Value Rise: Trends, Causes, and Impacts on Business, Banking, and Consumers

By \xa0National Banking College

Fluctuations in exchange rates play a vital role in maintaining macroeconomic stability in Ghana. In the past, the Ghanaian cedi has experienced continuous decline because of issues like long-term trade deficits, financial instability, rising inflation, and unfavorable international economic situations.

For instance, the cedi declined by almost 24% in 2024, ranking it as the fourth weakest currency in West Africa that year, as stated in the World Bank Africa Pulse Report (April 2025).

Nevertheless, 2025 has seen a significant recovery. The cedi emerged as the top-performing currency globally in the second quarter of 2025, rising by roughly 30–40% from April to June 2025, recovering from a low of GHS 15.56/USD in early April to approximately GHS 10.28/USD by June (Reuters, 2025, S&P Global, June 2025).

Grasping the reasons for the cedi's recent strengthening and its wider macroeconomic effects is crucial for businesses, financial organizations, government officials, and individuals. Although a stronger cedi may lower import costs, alleviate inflation (which dropped to 18.4% in May 2025, the lowest since 2021), and boost real earnings, it can also:

  • Erode export competitiveness,
  • Reduced amount of money sent back in local currency,
  • And impact bank balance sheets, particularly those with exposure to foreign currency positions.

This piece offers an in-depth look at the recent rise in the value of the cedi. It explores the factors behind this movement, emphasizes effects on different sectors, and presents important policy suggestions to help stakeholders react appropriately and maintain stability in a changing currency scenario.

Currency Exchange Patterns in Ghana

Fluctuations in exchange rates continue to serve as a key measure of Ghana's macroeconomic stability, affecting inflation, international trade, and investment patterns. From December 2022 to June 2025, the Ghanaian cedi faced considerable instability compared to the US dollar, British pound, and euro, indicating both external influences and domestic policy actions.

By the end of 2022, the cedi began to show signs of recovery after a challenging final quarter. The official interbank exchange rates stood at GHS 10.03 per US dollar, GHS 12.24 per pound, and GHS 10.62 per euro in December 2022. These rates indicated a slight improvement from earlier months, mainly due to actions taken by the Bank of Ghana and a seasonal increase in foreign currency availability.

In early 2023, the cedi saw additional improvements. By January, the currency slightly increased to GHS 9.91 per USD, while staying stable at GHS 12.13 per GBP and GHS 10.70 per EUR. However, this pattern changed gradually starting in February. Throughout 2023 and into early 2024, the cedi encountered renewed challenges, caused by delays in donor funding, increased import demand, and global monetary tightening. By March 2024, interbank rates had declined to roughly GHS 12.67 per USD, GHS 16.11 per GBP, and GHS 13.78 per EUR.

The most notable period of devaluation for the cedi took place from April to October 2024. In this phase, the exchange rate reached a high of GHS 15.99 per dollar, GHS 20.86 per pound, and GHS 17.42 per euro, indicating the severity of the pressure on all three major currencies. The greatest declines were seen against the pound, due to its strength compared to the dollar and euro, as well as Ghana's trade and remittance links with the UK.

Indications of recovery started to appear in November 2024. By December, the cedi showed a slight increase, reaching GHS 14.78 per USD, GHS 18.69 per GBP, and GHS 15.47 per EUR. This improvement gained momentum during the first half of 2025, particularly in the second quarter. From April to June, the cedi saw a significant rise, dropping from GHS 15.22 to 10.28 against the dollar, and from GHS 19.98 to 13.96 against the pound. A comparable pattern was noted against the euro, as the exchange rate increased from GHS 17.09 to 11.86 during the same time frame.

These variations demonstrate the cedi's responsiveness to both local and global factors. A comparative analysis of monthly exchange rate changes among the three currencies is shown in Figure 1, emphasizing the alternating phases of decline and increase over the 31 months.

Figure 1: Fluctuations in Currency Exchange Rates in Ghana

Source: https://www.bog.gov.gh/economic-data/exchange-rate/

Comparison of Regional Currency Performance Against USD

Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (Syndigate.info).

Sensex, Nifty Close Lower as IT Stocks Weigh Down Markets

Mumbai (Maharashtra) [India], July 10 (ANI): Indian equity indices closed the day in negative territory, dragged down by declines in IT shares. Stock markets faced selling pressure at higher levels on Thursday. At the end of trading, BSE Sensex fell 345.80 points or 0.41 per cent to 83,190.28, while the Nifty 50 on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) dropped 120.85 points or 0.47 per cent to 25,355.25. From a sectoral perspective, the Nifty Realty and Nifty Metal indices performed better, driven by targeted buying activity. However, defensive sectors such as Nifty FMCG, alongside Nifty PSU Bank, faced profit-taking and closed in negative territory. The wider market also reflected the benchmark's lackluster performance, with both Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 ending lower. The advance-decline ratio remained largely stable for the second consecutive session, indicating continued consolidation throughout the market. Within the Nifty 50 group, IndusInd Bank and Maruti Suzuki were the top performers, providing some stability against the overall weak trend. Conversely, Bharti Airtel and Asian Paints were the main contributors to the index's decline. Market participants were closely monitoring the first quarter results of the tech giant Tata Consultancy Services Ltd, which reported a 4 per cent increase in net profit. According to market analysts, volatility is anticipated to continue throughout the day, fueled by growing expectations of a potential trade agreement with the US and the start of the June-quarter earnings season.

ObseAnalyzing investor sentiment, Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments Limited, stated, "Investor sentiment continues to be cautious before the Q1 results, with expectations of a subdued beginning for the season from the IT and finance sectors. However, the recent consolidation in IT stocks has largely accounted for this muted outlook, reducing further concerns." "Today, the market moved within a tight range as investors stayed cautious ahead of various trade agreements and the US's threatening tariff policies. Based on current momentum, the market is expected to see a pause in the upward trend until there is more clarity on these issues," said VLA Ambala, Co-Founder of Stock Market Today. Experts suggest that due to sector-specific impacts, some sectors might face a short-term slowdown in the upcoming Q2, which is affecting overall sentiments.bseFocusing on the technical aspects, Nagaraj Shetti, Senior Technical Research Analyst at HDFC Securities, stated, "A long negative candle was formed on the daily chart, indicating a recent unsuccessful attempt to break out of a narrow range and the market is now near the lower end of the range at 25300." "Despite the ongoing consolidation, the benchmark Nifty index continues to trade above its key moving averages, showing underlying strength in the overall trend. However, the momentum seems to be weakening, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 60 — a sign that bullish momentum is gradually decreasing," said Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical and Derivatives Research, SBI Securities. Shrikant Chouhan, Head Equity Research, Kotak Securities, mentioned that technically, after a quiet start, the market faced steady selling pressure throughout the day at higher levels. "We believe the intraday market outlook is weak; however, a new selloff might occur only after the level of 25,300/83,000 is broken. Below these levels, the market could fall to 25,200/82,700. Further selling pressure may persist, potentially pushing the market down to 25,225/82,500," Chouhan added. (ANI)

Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (Syndigate.info).